Budget crisis

Projected school gap

Run forward on our assumed rates, the schools are $932,664 short in FY2028 and $4,675,101 in FY2033.

Projected school gap by yearour estimate
Gap that year (ours)New that year (ours)
Gap that year (ours)New that year (ours)
FY2028$932,664$932,664
FY2029$1,535,262$572,745
FY2030$2,205,125$621,051
FY2031$2,947,714$672,934
FY2032$3,768,921$728,680
FY2033$4,675,101$788,595

Each year’s gap includes the years before it; the second bar is the part that is new.

1 · The facts

  • $26,572,288

    the school budget, FY2027, as adopted

  • $932,664

    projected gap, FY2028 (ours)

    our estimate

  • $1,535,262

    projected gap, FY2029 (ours)

    our estimate

  • $572,745

    of it new in FY2029 (ours)

    our estimate

  • $4,675,101

    projected gap, FY2033 (ours)

    our estimate

  • 4.0% a year

    salary growth, assumed (ours)

    our estimate

  • 9.0% a year

    health insurance cost growth, assumed (ours)

    our estimate

  • —

    a published FY2028 school budget

    not published

2 · What it shows

  1. 1

    Each year’s gap holds the last: $572,745 of FY2029’s $1,535,262 is new that year.

  2. 2

    It assumes salaries grow 4.0% a year and health insurance 9.0% a year; both are ours.

  3. 3

    No board has published an FY2028 figure; this is our arithmetic on FY2027’s budget.

The projection, year by year (ours)
YearLevel service costRevenue for the schoolsGapNew that year
FY2028$28,361,400$27,428,736$932,664$932,664
FY2029$29,841,940$28,306,678$1,535,262$572,745
FY2030$31,411,781$29,206,656$2,205,125$621,051
FY2031$33,076,943$30,129,229$2,947,714$672,934
FY2032$34,843,891$31,074,970$3,768,921$728,680
FY2033$36,719,566$32,044,466$4,675,101$788,595

Our projection from the FY2027 adopted budget, at the rates model.json assumes.

Sources

What changed

Version 15 — updated September 20, 2026